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DOUGLAS G. STEIGERWALD


(Econometrics, Finance, Macroeconomics)

Department Address
2127 North Hall
University of California
Santa Barbara, CA 93106-9210

Office
North Hall 2016
phone: (805) 893-3151
fax: (805) 893-8830
email: doug@econ.ucsb.edu

Research Statement
Time-Series Analysis
Analysis of financial data often provides evidence that the distribution of the driving innovations is not Gaussian. If the innovations are not Gaussian, parametric estimators that capture all sample information are difficult to formulate. My work considers semiparametric estimators of financial models, which include nonparametric estimators of the innovation density. In many applications semiparametric estimators provide more precise estimates of the parameters of interest in financial models. In Efficient Estimation of Models with Conditional Heteroskedasticity I study a semiparametric estimator and derive its efficiency properties. In Consistency of Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Models with Conditional Heteroskedasticity we show that the leading alternative to semiparametric estimators, which is constructed from a misspecified parametric innovation density, may not be consistent for many financial models. We then show how the addition of a single parameter renders the estimators consistent.
Many studies of the macroeconomy analyze vectors of time-series variables. These vectors are often modeled as vector autoregressions, in large part due to the complications of including vector moving average terms. In Estimation of VARMA models with the EM Algorithm we show why previous applications of the EM algorithm to models with moving average components have broken down and how to correct the model so that the EM algorithm provides a solution. We also provide computational code so that the method can be easily applied.

Research Papers

Workshops

Undergraduate Teaching
Introduction to Econometrics
Economics 140A
Introduction to Time-Series Econometrics
Economics 140B
Graduate Teaching
Econometrics
Economics 241B
Econometric Theory
Economics 245A
Time-Series Analysis
Economics 245B


Ph.D., (Economics), University of California, Berkeley, 1989
M.A., (Statistics), University of California, Berkeley, 1986
B.A., (Economics), Pomona College, 1981


Selected Publications
Consumption Adjustment Under Time-Varying Income Uncertainty
(with Joon-Ho Hahm)
Review of Economics and Statistics (81) 1999
Asymptotic Bias for Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators in Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models
(with Whitney Newey)
Econometrica (65) 1997
Econometric Estimation of Foresight: Tax Policy and Investment in the U.S.
(with Charles Stuart)
Review of Economics and Statistics (79) 1997
Uniformly Adaptive Estimation for Models with ARMA Errors
Econometric Reviews (16) 1997
Purchasing Power Parity, Unit Roots, and Dynamic Structure
Journal of Empirical Finance (2) 1996
Testing for Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
(with Collin Crownover and John Pippenger)
Journal of International Money and Finance (5) 1996
Volatility
(with Steven LeRoy)
Handbook in Operations Research and Management Science Volume 9 1995
Adaptive Estimation in Time-Series Regression Models
Journal of Econometrics (54) 1992
On the Finite Sample Behavior of Adaptive Estimators
Journal of Econometrics (54) 1992
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